La Liga, round 10 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Real Sociedad — Levante
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Real Sociedad are clear favourites: 50% against 23% for the opponent, draw 27%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Real Sociedad are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Real Sociedad — Levante What is xG? | 1.8–1.2 | |
| Real Sociedad not to lose | 77% | |
| Levante not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Real Sociedad
- Real Sociedad goals
- Levante goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10Deportivo A Coruña3:2
- 20.09away · Valencia3:2
- 17.09AFC Bournemouth1:2
- 13.09Atlético Madrid0:3
- 07.09away · Elche3:2
- 12.10Sevilla3:3
- 20.09away · Villarreal1:3
- 13.09Barcelona2:4
- 06.09away · Málaga0:0
- 29.08Real Betis5:2
Head to head
- 04.04.2026Real Sociedad — Levante2:0
- 20.12.2025Levante — Real Sociedad1:1
- 06.05.2022Levante — Real Sociedad2:1
- 28.08.2021Real Sociedad — Levante1:0
- 07.03.2021Real Sociedad — Levante1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Deportivo Alavés | 8 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
| 18, Relegation | Elche | 8 | 1 | -6 | 6 |
La Liga on the same day
- Athletic ClubGetafepreliminary6025151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- Celta VigoReal Betispreliminary4327301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- BarcelonaReal Madridpreliminary6322151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →