Liga MX (Mexico), round 13 · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Atlético de San Luis — Querétaro FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Atlético de San Luis 39%, Querétaro FC 33%, draw 28%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Atlético de San Luis — No. 15, 12 pts; Querétaro FC — No. 3, 20 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Querétaro FC: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Atlético de San Luis 2 wins, Querétaro FC 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlético de San Luis — Querétaro FC What is xG? | 1.5–1.4 | |
| Atlético de San Luis not to lose | 67% | |
| Querétaro FC not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlético de San Luis
- Atlético de San Luis goals
- Querétaro FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Santos Laguna1:2
- 27.09away · Pumas3:2
- 20.09Necaxa3:1
- 15.09away · León0:2
- 06.09Chivas0:3
- 11.10Atlante2:0
- 27.09away · Chivas2:0
- 21.09León1:1
- 12.09away · Tijuana1:0
- 30.08away · Atlas3:1
Head to head
- 15.02.2026Atlético de San Luis — Querétaro FC3:0
- 23.08.2025Querétaro FC — Atlético de San Luis3:2
- 08.02.2025Querétaro FC — Atlético de San Luis1:0
- 19.08.2024Atlético de San Luis — Querétaro FC4:0
- 28.02.2024Querétaro FC — Atlético de San Luis4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Liguilla (playoffs) | Toluca | 11 | 6 | +10 | 20 |
| 3, Liguilla (playoffs) | Querétaro FC | 10 | 6 | +7 | 20 |
| 4, Liguilla (playoffs) | Chivas | 11 | 5 | +7 | 19 |
| 14 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Atlético de San Luis | 11 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Atlante | 11 | 2 | -5 | 11 |
Liga MX on the same day
- ChivasNecaxapreliminary6721121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- FC JuárezAtlantepreliminary362935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:23.0
- TigresLeónpreliminary5126231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →