Super League Greece, round 7 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Atromitos — AEK Athens
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
AEK Athens are clear favourites: 62% against 13% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings AEK Athens are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Atromitos — No. 12, 2 pts; AEK Athens — No. 2, 14 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
- Atromitos: winless in 5; AEK Athens: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Atromitos 0 wins, AEK Athens 4, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atromitos — AEK Athens What is xG? | 0.9–1.9 | |
| Atromitos not to lose | 38% | |
| AEK Athens not to lose | 87% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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Form
- 10.10away · Asteras Tripolis1:2
- 19.09Kifisia FC1:2
- 12.09away · Iraklis1:1
- 06.09Kalamata1:1
- 30.08PAOK Thessaloniki1:2
- 10.10OFI Crete3:0
- 20.09away · NFC Volos2:1
- 13.09away · Asteras Tripolis1:1
- 08.09LASK1:0
- 05.09Aris Thessaloniki5:0
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Atromitos — AEK Athens2:2
- 07.12.2025AEK Athens — Atromitos4:1
- 15.02.2025AEK Athens — Atromitos2:1
- 03.11.2024Atromitos — AEK Athens0:1
- 21.01.2024Atromitos — AEK Athens0:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | +9 | 15 |
| 2 | AEK Athens | 6 | 4 | +13 | 14 |
| 3 | Olympiacos | 6 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 1 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | 0 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 | NFC Volos | 6 | 0 | -6 | 2 |
Greek Super League on the same day
- 5026241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →