Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Aucas — LDU de Quito
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Evenly matched: Aucas 35%, LDU de Quito 34%, draw 31%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings LDU de Quito are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Aucas: winless in 5; LDU de Quito: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Aucas 1 win, LDU de Quito 3, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: Aucas 8, LDU de Quito 6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Aucas — LDU de Quito What is xG? | 1.1–1.1 | |
| Aucas not to lose | 66% | |
| LDU de Quito not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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- Handicap Aucas
- Aucas goals
- LDU de Quito goals
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Form
- 10.10away · Independiente del Valle1:2
- 19.09CSD Macará1:2
- 12.09away · Manta0:0
- 07.09Barcelona SC1:1
- 03.09away · Universidad Católica (ECU)1:1
- 12.10Barcelona SC2:1
- 21.09Universidad Católica (ECU)2:1
- 17.09Palmeiras3:2
- 13.09Deportivo Cuenca1:1
- 10.09away · Palmeiras0:1
Head to head
- 17.08.2026Aucas — LDU de Quito0:1
- 23.04.2026LDU de Quito — Aucas0:0
- 10.08.2025Aucas — LDU de Quito1:0
- 19.04.2025LDU de Quito — Aucas3:1
- 18.08.2024Aucas — LDU de Quito0:1
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- 4730231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.0
- 4729231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →