Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Delfín — Manta

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Model prediction for 18 October

Delfín47%
Draw30%
Manta23%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Delfín are clear favourites: 47% against 23% for the opponent, draw 30%.

The model expects few goals: 1.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.4.

Over 2.5 goals — 29%, both teams to score — 36%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Delfín are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Delfín — Manta What is xG?1.1–0.7
Delfín not to lose77%
Manta not to lose53%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes36%
Both teams to score: no64%
Total over 2.529%
Total under 2.571%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Delfín
  • Delfín goals
  • Manta goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Delfín

  • 09.10Mushuc Runa3:2
  • 20.09away · Técnico Universitario1:1
  • 14.09away · Barcelona SC1:1
  • 07.09Universidad Católica (ECU)0:1
  • 02.09Técnico Universitario1:0

Manta

  • 10.10Técnico Universitario1:0
  • 21.09Orense2:1
  • 12.09Aucas0:0
  • 08.09away · Emelec0:1
  • 02.09away · CSD Macará3:4

Head to head

  • 15.07.2026Manta — Delfín0:1
  • 15.03.2026Delfín — Manta0:1
  • 28.06.2025Delfín — Manta2:0
  • 04.03.2025Manta — Delfín2:2

Full record: 4 meetings →

LigaPro Serie A on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →