Major League Soccer (MLS), round 30 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Austin FC — Vancouver Whitecaps
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Vancouver Whitecaps are clear favourites: 55% against 20% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vancouver Whitecaps are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Austin FC — No. 24, 31 pts; Vancouver Whitecaps — No. 2, 51 pts. A gap of 20 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Austin FC 1 win, Vancouver Whitecaps 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Austin FC — Vancouver Whitecaps What is xG? | 1.2–2.1 | |
| Austin FC not to lose | 45% | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps not to lose | 80% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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- Handicap Austin FC
- Austin FC goals
- Vancouver Whitecaps goals
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Form
- 11.10Nashville SC1:4
- 27.09San Diego FC3:3
- 20.09away · FC Dallas0:0
- 14.09away · Vancouver Whitecaps2:1
- 10.09Colorado Rapids1:1
- 11.10away · Los Angeles FC1:1
- 07.10away · Chicago Fire FC1:3
- 27.09DC United3:3
- 20.09away · Real Salt Lake3:0
- 14.09Austin FC1:2
Head to head
- 14.09.2026Vancouver Whitecaps — Austin FC1:2
- 18.05.2025Austin FC — Vancouver Whitecaps0:0
- 13.04.2025Vancouver Whitecaps — Austin FC5:1
- 01.09.2024Austin FC — Vancouver Whitecaps0:1
- 05.05.2024Vancouver Whitecaps — Austin FC0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | +37 | 63 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | +31 | 51 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | +16 | 50 |
| 23 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | -11 | 32 |
| 24 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | -15 | 31 |
| 25 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
MLS on the same day
- 2625482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
- 4028331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- 333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.4
- 4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3428382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →