Brazilian Serie B, round 34 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Avaí — Athletic Club MG
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Avaí are clear favourites: 46% against 25% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Avaí — No. 17, 36 pts; Athletic Club MG — No. 13, 43 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Athletic Club MG: winless in 5.
- Last 3 meetings: Avaí 1 win, Athletic Club MG 2.
- Days of rest before the match: Avaí 6, Athletic Club MG 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Avaí — Athletic Club MG What is xG? | 1.3–0.9 | |
| Avaí not to lose | 75% | |
| Athletic Club MG not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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- Handicap Avaí
- Avaí goals
- Athletic Club MG goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 14.10Londrina2:2
- 07.10away · Goiás1:2
- 02.10Sport Recife1:2
- 28.09away · Fortaleza2:2
- 20.09Botafogo SP1:1
Head to head
- 28.06.2026Athletic Club MG — Avaí1:0
- 02.11.2025Avaí — Athletic Club MG2:1
- 15.07.2025Athletic Club MG — Avaí4:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | São Bernardo | 33 | 12 | +10 | 46 |
| 13 | Athletic Club MG | 33 | 10 | +1 | 43 |
| 14 | Náutico | 33 | 11 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | -1 | 41 |
| 17, Relegation | Avaí | 33 | 10 | -10 | 36 |
| 18, Relegation | Londrina | 33 | 7 | -7 | 29 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- 3127422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- 313138XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
- 5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →