Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Balıkesirspor — Arnavutköy Belediyespor
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Balıkesirspor 38%, Arnavutköy Belediyespor 36%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Balıkesirspor — Arnavutköy Belediyespor What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Balıkesirspor not to lose | 64% | |
| Arnavutköy Belediyespor not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Balıkesirspor
- Balıkesirspor goals
- Arnavutköy Belediyespor goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Turkish Cup on the same day
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- Kastamonuspor 196624 Erzincansporpreliminary3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Etimesgut Spor KulubuGaziantep FKpreliminary1420662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- SarıyerAyvalikgücü Belediyesporpreliminary3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Ağrı 1970 Sporİstanbulsporpreliminary1421652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- FethiyesporEyüpsporpreliminary1923582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- DüzcesporIsparta 32 Sporpreliminary4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →