Russian Premier League, round 11 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Baltika — FC Rostov
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Baltika are clear favourites: 56% against 15% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Baltika are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Baltika — No. 6, 12 pts; FC Rostov — No. 12, 11 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Baltika 1 win, FC Rostov 1, 3 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Baltika 4, FC Rostov 9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Baltika — FC Rostov What is xG? | 1.5–0.7 | |
| Baltika not to lose | 85% | |
| FC Rostov not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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- Handicap Baltika
- Baltika goals
- FC Rostov goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 14.10away · Krylya Sovetov Samara2:0
- 11.10away · FK Akhmat0:0
- 16.09Zenit St. Petersburg2:3
- 12.09away · Fakel2:2
- 06.09Lokomotiv Moscow0:1
- 09.10Akron Togliatti1:0
- 17.09Dinamo Moscow0:3
- 13.09away · Spartak Moscow0:3
- 05.09Fakel3:1
- 01.09CSKA Moscow2:0
Head to head
- 07.03.2026FC Rostov — Baltika1:1
- 21.09.2025Baltika — FC Rostov0:0
- 19.05.2024FC Rostov — Baltika2:1
- 02.05.2024FC Rostov — Baltika0:1
- 16.09.2023Baltika — FC Rostov2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | +9 | 20 |
| 6 | Baltika | 10 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 10 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 11 | FK Akhmat | 10 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | FC Rostov | 10 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Lokomotiv Moscow | 10 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
Russian Premier League on the same day
- 712181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 4729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 6225131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →