Russian Premier League, round 11 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Spartak Moscow — Rubin Kazan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Spartak Moscow are clear favourites: 62% against 13% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Spartak Moscow are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Spartak Moscow — No. 5, 20 pts; Rubin Kazan — No. 8, 12 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Rubin Kazan: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Spartak Moscow 3 wins, Rubin Kazan 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Spartak Moscow — Rubin Kazan What is xG? | 1.8–0.8 | |
| Spartak Moscow not to lose | 87% | |
| Rubin Kazan not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow goals
- Rubin Kazan goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Krylya Sovetov Samara1:1
- 16.09Fakel1:0
- 13.09FC Rostov3:0
- 06.09away · Dinamo Moscow1:2
- 02.09Rodina3:1
- 11.10Dinamo Moscow0:1
- 16.09away · Rodina1:1
- 12.09away · CSKA Moscow1:1
- 07.09FK Akhmat1:1
- 02.09away · FC Orenburg1:1
Head to head
- 19.08.2026Rubin Kazan — Spartak Moscow1:1
- 11.05.2026Spartak Moscow — Rubin Kazan2:1
- 23.08.2025Rubin Kazan — Spartak Moscow0:2
- 09.03.2025Rubin Kazan — Spartak Moscow2:1
- 31.08.2024Spartak Moscow — Rubin Kazan1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | +9 | 20 |
| 6 | Baltika | 10 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 10 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 10 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 10 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
Russian Premier League on the same day
- 712181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 4729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 5629151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →