Turkish Super Lig, round 10 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Başakşehir — Samsunspor
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Başakşehir are clear favourites: 56% against 19% for the opponent, draw 25%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Başakşehir are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Başakşehir — Samsunspor What is xG? | 1.9–1.1 | |
| Başakşehir not to lose | 81% | |
| Samsunspor not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Başakşehir
- Başakşehir goals
- Samsunspor goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10away · Konyaspor0:0
- 19.09Gençlerbirliği4:0
- 13.09away · Amed Sportif0:5
- 04.09Galatasaray2:3
- 30.08Kasımpaşa1:1
- 10.10Trabzonspor0:3
- 20.09away · Erzurumspor FK0:1
- 12.09Çorum FK1:5
- 06.09away · Kocaelispor0:1
- 30.08Fenerbahçe0:2
Head to head
- 09.05.2026Başakşehir — Samsunspor3:0
- 14.12.2025Samsunspor — Başakşehir0:2
- 01.02.2025Başakşehir — Samsunspor4:0
- 18.09.2024Samsunspor — Başakşehir2:0
- 03.03.2024Başakşehir — Samsunspor1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rizespor | 7 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Başakşehir | 7 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Gaziantep FK | 7 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 16, Relegation | Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | -4 | 5 |
| 17, Relegation | Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | -9 | 4 |
| 18, Relegation | Eyüpspor | 7 | 1 | -18 | 3 |
Super Lig on the same day
- Amed SportifEyüpsporpreliminary7217111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
- TrabzonsporGaziantep FKpreliminary6621131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
- KasımpaşaBeşiktaşpreliminary2329472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →