Turkish Super Lig, round 10 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Trabzonspor — Gaziantep FK

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Model prediction for 1 November

Trabzonspor70%
Draw20%
Gaziantep FK11%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Trabzonspor are clear favourites: 70% against 11% for the opponent, draw 20%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).

Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Trabzonspor are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Trabzonspor — No. 5, 13 pts; Gaziantep FK — No. 12, 8 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Trabzonspor 3 wins, Gaziantep FK 0, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Trabzonspor — Gaziantep FK What is xG?2.2–0.9
Trabzonspor not to lose89%
Gaziantep FK not to lose30%
No draw80%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.557%
Total under 2.543%

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Form

Trabzonspor

  • 10.10away · Samsunspor3:0
  • 19.09Galatasaray4:0
  • 12.09away · Konyaspor0:1
  • 06.09Gençlerbirliği5:0
  • 31.08away · Amed Sportif1:2

Gaziantep FK

  • 11.10Çorum FK0:3
  • 19.09away · Kocaelispor0:2
  • 14.09Fenerbahçe0:0
  • 07.09away · Göztepe4:2
  • 29.08Rizespor1:2

Head to head

  • 22.02.2026Gaziantep FK — Trabzonspor1:2
  • 20.09.2025Trabzonspor — Gaziantep FK1:1
  • 23.02.2025Trabzonspor — Gaziantep FK3:2
  • 23.09.2024Gaziantep FK — Trabzonspor0:0
  • 28.04.2024Trabzonspor — Gaziantep FK4:2

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4, Europa League or Conference LeagueFenerbahçe741219–6+1313
5Trabzonspor741216–5+1113
6Alanyaspor73318–6+212
11Başakşehir722310–11-18
12Gaziantep FK72237–10-38
13Gençlerbirliği72237–15-88

Season 2026/27

Full table

Super Lig on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →