Turkish Super Lig, round 10 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Kasımpaşa — Beşiktaş
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Beşiktaş are clear favourites: 47% against 23% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Beşiktaş are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kasımpaşa — Beşiktaş What is xG? | 1.0–1.5 | |
| Kasımpaşa not to lose | 53% | |
| Beşiktaş not to lose | 77% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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- Handicap Kasımpaşa
- Kasımpaşa goals
- Beşiktaş goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 09.10away · Galatasaray1:3
- 18.09Konyaspor0:0
- 13.09away · Gençlerbirliği2:1
- 06.09Amed Sportif2:2
- 30.08away · Başakşehir1:1
- 11.10Kocaelispor2:1
- 20.09away · Amed Sportif2:3
- 17.09Marseille4:1
- 11.09Erzurumspor FK3:0
- 05.09away · Fenerbahçe2:1
Head to head
- 19.03.2026Beşiktaş — Kasımpaşa2:1
- 26.10.2025Kasımpaşa — Beşiktaş1:1
- 07.04.2025Kasımpaşa — Beşiktaş1:1
- 02.11.2024Beşiktaş — Kasımpaşa1:3
- 26.05.2024Kasımpaşa — Beşiktaş2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | +5 | 16 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Beşiktaş | 7 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Amed Sportif | 7 | 4 | +8 | 14 |
| 8 | Çorum FK | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 | Kasımpaşa | 7 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 7 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
Super Lig on the same day
- Amed SportifEyüpsporpreliminary7217111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
- TrabzonsporGaziantep FKpreliminary6621131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
- BaşakşehirSamsunsporpreliminary5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →