Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Borisov Arena
BATE — Slavia Mozyr
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:1Came true
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, BATE to win (40%), came true.
Evenly matched: BATE 40%, Slavia Mozyr 33%, draw 27%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: BATE — Slavia Mozyr What is xG? | 1.2–1.1 | |
| BATE not to lose | 67% | |
| Slavia Mozyr not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap BATE
- BATE goals
- Slavia Mozyr goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 19.09away · Din. Minsk0:2
- 13.09Naftan2:2
- 07.09away · Dynamo Brest0:1
- 03.09away · Isloch0:2
- 30.08FC Minsk2:1
- 19.09Naftan0:1
- 11.09away · FC Minsk0:1
- 04.09Vitebsk3:0
- 29.08away · Neman0:1
- 22.08FC Gomel0:0
Head to head
- 24.05.2026Slavia Mozyr — BATE1:1
- 09.11.2025BATE — Slavia Mozyr1:1
- 20.06.2025Slavia Mozyr — BATE1:1
- 05.10.2024Slavia Mozyr — BATE2:3
- 17.05.2024BATE — Slavia Mozyr1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Zhodino | 23 | 8 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 6 | -4 | 25 |
| 11 | Baranovici | 24 | 6 | -17 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 24 | 5 | -18 | 23 |
| 13 | BATE | 23 | 4 | -10 | 21 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Belshina | 23 | 5 | -17 | 21 |
Next matches
- BATENeman14 October · Belarusian Premier League2927442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.2
- Din. MinskSlavia Mozyr15 October · Belarusian Premier League6620141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- 3728351The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
- 3627361The most likely outcome came true: 14:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.9
- 6421151The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →