Argentine Liga Profesional · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Belgrano — Barracas Central
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Belgrano are clear favourites: 53% against 17% for the opponent, draw 30%.
1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 29%, both teams to score — 35%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Belgrano are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Belgrano: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Belgrano 0 wins, Barracas Central 1, 4 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Belgrano — Barracas Central What is xG? | 1.2–0.6 | |
| Belgrano not to lose | 83% | |
| Barracas Central not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 35% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 65% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 29% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 71% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Belgrano
- Belgrano goals
- Barracas Central goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 12.10away · Racing Club2:0
- 04.10away · Talleres1:0
- 21.09Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
- 13.09away · Sarmiento1:1
- 05.09Huracán1:1
- 10.10Huracán2:0
- 03.10away · Atlético Tucumán3:2
- 22.09Independiente Rivadavia0:1
- 15.09away · Banfield1:1
- 08.09Argentinos Juniors0:0
Head to head
- 20.04.2026Barracas Central — Belgrano0:0
- 29.09.2025Barracas Central — Belgrano1:1
- 17.03.2025Belgrano — Barracas Central1:1
- 21.11.2024Barracas Central — Belgrano1:1
- 07.07.2023Belgrano — Barracas Central0:2
Liga Profesional on the same day
- Newell's Old BoysUniónpreliminary4531241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
- LanúsGimnasia Mendozapreliminary6024151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →