Ghana Premier League, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Berekum Chelsea — Samartex

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Model prediction for 25 October

Berekum Chelsea49%
Draw28%
Samartex22%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Berekum Chelsea are clear favourites: 49% against 22% for the opponent, draw 28%.

1.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 27%, both teams to score — 32%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Berekum Chelsea are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Berekum Chelsea — Samartex What is xG?1.1–0.7
Berekum Chelsea not to lose78%
Samartex not to lose51%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes32%
Both teams to score: no68%
Total over 2.527%
Total under 2.573%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Berekum Chelsea
  • Berekum Chelsea goals
  • Samartex goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Berekum Chelsea

  • 11.10Debibi3:0
  • 04.10away · Holy Stars0:1
  • 27.09Vision FC1:1
  • 20.09away · Port City1:2
  • 13.09Dreams FC3:1

Samartex

  • 11.10away · Ashanti Gold0:1
  • 04.10Young Apostles1:0
  • 27.09away · All Blacks1:1
  • 20.09Asante Kotoko SC1:1
  • 13.09away · Aduana Stars1:0

Head to head

  • 12.04.2026Samartex — Berekum Chelsea1:0
  • 30.11.2025Berekum Chelsea — Samartex0:0
  • 23.03.2025Berekum Chelsea — Samartex0:0
  • 27.10.2024Samartex — Berekum Chelsea1:0
  • 14.04.2024Samartex — Berekum Chelsea3:2

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2Hearts of Oak63217–2+511
3Samartex63217–4+311
4Port City63128–5+310
12Asante Kotoko SC62226–7-18
13Berekum Chelsea62138–9-17
14Bibiani Gold Stars62136–7-17

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ghana Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →