Ghana Premier League, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Bibiani Gold Stars — Heart of Lions

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Model prediction for 25 October

Bibiani Gold Stars60%
Draw22%
Heart of Lions17%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bibiani Gold Stars are clear favourites: 60% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 41%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Bibiani Gold Stars are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Bibiani Gold Stars — No. 14, 7 pts; Heart of Lions — No. 11, 8 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Bibiani Gold Stars 3 wins, Heart of Lions 0, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bibiani Gold Stars — Heart of Lions What is xG?1.6–0.7
Bibiani Gold Stars not to lose83%
Heart of Lions not to lose40%
No draw78%
Both teams to score: yes41%
Both teams to score: no59%
Total over 2.541%
Total under 2.559%

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  • Handicap Bibiani Gold Stars
  • Bibiani Gold Stars goals
  • Heart of Lions goals
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Form

Bibiani Gold Stars

  • 11.10Holy Stars2:0
  • 03.10away · Vision FC0:0
  • 27.09Port City0:2
  • 20.09away · Dreams FC3:2
  • 13.09Hearts of Oak1:2

Heart of Lions

  • 11.10away · Medeama SC1:3
  • 04.10Ashanti Gold3:2
  • 27.09away · Young Apostles2:1
  • 19.09All Blacks0:0
  • 13.09away · Asante Kotoko SC1:2

Head to head

  • 22.02.2026Heart of Lions — Bibiani Gold Stars1:2
  • 20.10.2025Bibiani Gold Stars — Heart of Lions3:1
  • 01.04.2025Bibiani Gold Stars — Heart of Lions2:1
  • 29.09.2024Heart of Lions — Bibiani Gold Stars0:0
  • 25.03.2024Heart of Lions — Bibiani Gold Stars2:2

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
10All Blacks62224–408
11Heart of Lions62227–8-18
12Asante Kotoko SC62226–7-18
13Berekum Chelsea62138–9-17
14Bibiani Gold Stars62136–7-17
15Vision FC61328–9-16

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ghana Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →