Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Bitlis 1916 — Kayserispor

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Model prediction for 27 October

Bitlis 191614%
Draw21%
Kayserispor65%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Kayserispor are clear favourites: 65% against 14% for the opponent, draw 21%.

3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Kayserispor are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bitlis 1916 — Kayserispor What is xG?0.9–2.1
Bitlis 1916 not to lose35%
Kayserispor not to lose86%
No draw79%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.558%
Total under 2.542%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Bitlis 1916
  • Bitlis 1916 goals
  • Kayserispor goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Bitlis 1916

No past matches in the data yet.

Kayserispor

  • 17.05Konyaspor2:1
  • 09.05away · Alanyaspor1:3
  • 03.05Eyüpspor1:1
  • 25.04Rizespor2:0
  • 20.04away · Gaziantep FK0:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Turkish Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →