2. Bundesliga, round 7 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Ruhrstadion
Bochum — Arminia Bielefeld
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0:1Missed
In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Bochum to win (45%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 45% fails in about 55 matches out of 100 on average.
Bochum are slightly stronger: 45% against 28%, draw 27%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bochum — Arminia Bielefeld What is xG? | 1.6–1.3 | |
| Bochum not to lose | 72% | |
| Arminia Bielefeld not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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- Handicap Bochum
- Bochum goals
- Arminia Bielefeld goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 20.09away · Hannover 961:2
- 12.09Greuther Fürth1:1
- 05.09away · Dynamo Dresden2:1
- 28.08VfL Osnabrück0:1
- 23.08away · Greuther Fürth2:1
- 20.09FC Heidenheim2:2
- 11.09away · Darmstadt1:2
- 04.09St. Pauli2:2
- 29.08away · 1. FC Nürnberg1:4
- 22.08away · Sonnenhof Großaspach2:2
Head to head
- 02.05.2026Arminia Bielefeld — Bochum1:1
- 06.12.2025Bochum — Arminia Bielefeld1:0
- 12.08.2023Arminia Bielefeld — Bochum2:2
- 06.05.2022Bochum — Arminia Bielefeld2:1
- 14.12.2021Arminia Bielefeld — Bochum2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Energie Cottbus | 7 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | VfL Osnabrück | 7 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Bochum | 7 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Hannover 96 | 7 | 2 | -5 | 7 |
Next matches
- KaiserslauternBochum17 October · 2. Bundesliga4328281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Arminia BielefeldVfL Osnabrück18 October · 2. Bundesliga5623211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- 5525201The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.3.3
- 5526191The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →