2. Bundesliga, round 8 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Kaiserslautern — Bochum

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Model prediction for 17 October

Kaiserslautern43%
Draw28%
Bochum28%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Kaiserslautern are slightly stronger: 43% against 28%, draw 28%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kaiserslautern — Bochum What is xG?1.6–1.2
Kaiserslautern not to lose72%
Bochum not to lose57%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes59%
Both teams to score: no41%
Total over 2.553%
Total under 2.547%

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Form

Kaiserslautern

  • 09.10away · FC Heidenheim0:0
  • 19.09Eintracht Braunschweig1:0
  • 12.09away · Magdeburg0:3
  • 05.09Darmstadt3:0
  • 30.08away · St. Pauli2:1

Bochum

  • 11.10Arminia Bielefeld0:1
  • 20.09away · Hannover 961:2
  • 12.09Greuther Fürth1:1
  • 05.09away · Dynamo Dresden2:1
  • 28.08VfL Osnabrück0:1

Head to head

  • 07.03.2026Bochum — Kaiserslautern3:2
  • 04.10.2025Kaiserslautern — Bochum3:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5Wolfsburg733119–12+712
6Kaiserslautern73316–4+212
7St. Pauli724110–8+210
11Eintracht Braunschweig721413–1307
12Bochum72145–7-27
13Hannover 9672147–12-57

Season 2026/27

Full table

2. Bundesliga on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →