EFL Championship, round 11 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Bristol City — Sheffield United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Evenly matched: Bristol City 39%, Sheffield United 32%, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bristol City — Sheffield United What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Bristol City not to lose | 68% | |
| Sheffield United not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bristol City
- Bristol City goals
- Sheffield United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Blackburn Rovers0:1
- 10.10away · Charlton Athletic1:1
- 18.09Watford1:0
- 15.09Lincoln City0:1
- 12.09away · Southampton1:4
- 10.10Lincoln City3:0
- 19.09away · Stoke City1:2
- 16.09away · Fleetwood Town0:1
- 13.09Wolverhampton Wanderers0:1
- 08.09away · Blackburn Rovers2:1
Head to head
- 06.04.2026Bristol City — Sheffield United1:0
- 09.08.2025Sheffield United — Bristol City1:4
- 12.05.2025Sheffield United — Bristol City3:0
- 08.05.2025Bristol City — Sheffield United0:3
- 11.03.2025Sheffield United — Bristol City1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic | 10 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bolton Wanderers | 10 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield United | 9 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | -4 | 11 |
Championship on the same day
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
- 4729251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 5127231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.5
- 3628362The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →