K League 1 (South Korea), round 33 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Bucheon FC 1995 — Gwangju FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bucheon FC 1995 are slightly stronger: 40% against 30%, draw 30%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bucheon FC 1995 — Gwangju FC What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Bucheon FC 1995 not to lose | 70% | |
| Gwangju FC not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bucheon FC 1995
- Bucheon FC 1995 goals
- Gwangju FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Gangwon FC0:2
- 19.09Gimcheon Sangmu0:2
- 12.09Jeju SK2:2
- 08.09away · Incheon United1:2
- 05.09Daejeon Hana Citizen0:5
- 11.10Ulsan HD FC4:3
- 20.09away · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC2:2
- 13.09FC Anyang1:1
- 09.09Jeju SK0:1
- 06.09away · Gimcheon Sangmu2:2
Head to head
- 08.08.2026Bucheon FC 1995 — Gwangju FC0:0
- 11.04.2026Gwangju FC — Bucheon FC 19950:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Relegation round | Gimcheon Sangmu | 31 | 5 | -7 | 33 |
| 11, Relegation round | Bucheon FC 1995 | 31 | 7 | -11 | 32 |
| 12, Relegation play-off | Gwangju FC | 31 | 2 | -41 | 18 |
K League 1 on the same day
- FC AnyangJeonbuk Hyundai Motors FCpreliminary2729442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- Gimcheon SangmuDaejeon Hana Citizenpreliminary333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.7
- Incheon UnitedJeju SKpreliminary4431261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- FC SeoulGangwon FCpreliminary5427191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- Ulsan HD FCPohang Steelerspreliminary4330281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →