K League 1 (South Korea), round 33 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
FC Seoul — Gangwon FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Seoul are clear favourites: 54% against 19% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Seoul are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: FC Seoul — No. 1, 65 pts; Gangwon FC — No. 3, 46 pts. A gap of 19 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: FC Seoul 2 wins, Gangwon FC 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Seoul — Gangwon FC What is xG? | 1.6–0.9 | |
| FC Seoul not to lose | 81% | |
| Gangwon FC not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Seoul
- FC Seoul goals
- Gangwon FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Jeju SK2:1
- 20.09away · Pohang Steelers1:2
- 12.09away · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC2:1
- 08.09away · Ulsan HD FC0:1
- 05.09Incheon United1:0
- 09.10Bucheon FC 19952:0
- 27.09Incheon United0:0
- 20.09Jeju SK0:1
- 13.09away · Gimcheon Sangmu2:2
- 09.09Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC1:1
Head to head
- 12.07.2026FC Seoul — Gangwon FC0:0
- 25.04.2026Gangwon FC — FC Seoul1:2
- 26.10.2025FC Seoul — Gangwon FC4:2
- 13.09.2025Gangwon FC — FC Seoul3:2
- 17.06.2025FC Seoul — Gangwon FC1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | FC Seoul | 31 | 20 | +32 | 65 |
| 2, Championship round | Ulsan HD FC | 31 | 14 | +4 | 47 |
| 3, Championship round | Gangwon FC | 31 | 11 | +10 | 46 |
| 4, Championship round | Jeju SK | 31 | 12 | +5 | 46 |
K League 1 on the same day
- FC AnyangJeonbuk Hyundai Motors FCpreliminary2730442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.7
- Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FCpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- Gimcheon SangmuDaejeon Hana Citizenpreliminary333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.7
- Incheon UnitedJeju SKpreliminary4431251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Ulsan HD FCPohang Steelerspreliminary4330281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →