K League 1 (South Korea), round 33 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Ulsan HD FC — Pohang Steelers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ulsan HD FC are slightly stronger: 43% against 28%, draw 30%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Ulsan HD FC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ulsan HD FC — Pohang Steelers What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| Ulsan HD FC not to lose | 72% | |
| Pohang Steelers not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Ulsan HD FC
- Ulsan HD FC goals
- Pohang Steelers goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Gwangju FC3:4
- 19.09away · FC Anyang1:2
- 12.09Incheon United2:1
- 08.09FC Seoul1:0
- 05.09away · Jeju SK0:0
- 09.10away · Incheon United0:3
- 20.09FC Seoul2:1
- 12.09away · Daejeon Hana Citizen2:2
- 09.09Gimcheon Sangmu0:0
- 05.09away · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC0:2
Head to head
- 08.08.2026Pohang Steelers — Ulsan HD FC0:2
- 02.05.2026Ulsan HD FC — Pohang Steelers0:1
- 13.09.2025Pohang Steelers — Ulsan HD FC1:1
- 05.05.2025Ulsan HD FC — Pohang Steelers1:1
- 29.03.2025Pohang Steelers — Ulsan HD FC1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | FC Seoul | 31 | 20 | +32 | 65 |
| 2, Championship round | Ulsan HD FC | 31 | 14 | +4 | 47 |
| 3, Championship round | Gangwon FC | 31 | 11 | +10 | 46 |
| 8, Relegation round | FC Anyang | 31 | 10 | -8 | 41 |
| 9, Relegation round | Pohang Steelers | 31 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 10, Relegation round | Gimcheon Sangmu | 31 | 5 | -7 | 33 |
K League 1 on the same day
- FC AnyangJeonbuk Hyundai Motors FCpreliminary2729442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FCpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- Gimcheon SangmuDaejeon Hana Citizenpreliminary333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.7
- Incheon UnitedJeju SKpreliminary4431261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- FC SeoulGangwon FCpreliminary5427191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →