Serie A, round 8 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Cagliari — Bologna
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bologna are slightly stronger: 38% against 29%, draw 33%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bologna are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Cagliari — No. 4, 13 pts; Bologna — No. 14, 5 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Cagliari: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Cagliari 1 win, Bologna 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cagliari — Bologna What is xG? | 1.1–1.3 | |
| Cagliari not to lose | 62% | |
| Bologna not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cagliari
- Cagliari goals
- Bologna goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10Juventus1:1
- 19.09away · Udinese1:0
- 12.09away · Atalanta2:1
- 07.09Lecce1:0
- 03.09Hellas Verona1:2
- 11.10away · Lecce2:1
- 19.09Torino1:1
- 13.09away · Napoli0:1
- 06.09Sassuolo2:2
- 31.08away · Atalanta0:1
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Bologna — Cagliari0:0
- 19.10.2025Cagliari — Bologna0:2
- 02.03.2025Bologna — Cagliari2:1
- 29.10.2024Cagliari — Bologna0:2
- 14.01.2024Cagliari — Bologna2:1
Table
Serie A on the same day
- ComoSassuolopreliminary6324131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
- NapoliRomapreliminary313237XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:22.6
- LazioParmapreliminary5728151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →