Copa del Rey · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
CD Covadonga — Real Valladolid
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Real Valladolid are clear favourites: 64% against 15% for the opponent, draw 21%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Real Valladolid are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CD Covadonga — Real Valladolid What is xG? | 0.9–2.1 | |
| CD Covadonga not to lose | 36% | |
| Real Valladolid not to lose | 85% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap CD Covadonga
- CD Covadonga goals
- Real Valladolid goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 12.10Albacete5:0
- 04.10away · Las Palmas2:2
- 27.09Córdoba3:1
- 20.09away · AD Ceuta FC1:1
- 13.09Real Oviedo0:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- Anaitasuna FTDeportivo Alavéspreliminary511842The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.6
- Coruxo FCZamorapreliminary2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Peña SportSD Huescapreliminary2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- PoblenseAD Ceuta FCpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- PortugaleteReal Uniónpreliminary4226321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- UteboSabadellpreliminary916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
- AlcoyanoMallorcapreliminary1118712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- SD AmorebietaLogroñéspreliminary5325231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →