Copa del Rey · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Utebo — Sabadell
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sabadell are clear favourites: 75% against 9% for the opponent, draw 16%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sabadell are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Utebo — Sabadell What is xG? | 0.8–2.5 | |
| Utebo not to lose | 25% | |
| Sabadell not to lose | 91% | |
| No draw | 84% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Utebo
- Utebo goals
- Sabadell goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · AD Ceuta FC2:1
- 04.10FC Andorra0:0
- 26.09away · Celta Fortuna1:1
- 20.09Real Oviedo3:1
- 13.09away · Mallorca0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- Anaitasuna FTDeportivo Alavéspreliminary511842The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.6
- Coruxo FCZamorapreliminary2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Peña SportSD Huescapreliminary2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- PoblenseAD Ceuta FCpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- PortugaleteReal Uniónpreliminary4226321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- AlcoyanoMallorcapreliminary1118712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- SD AmorebietaLogroñéspreliminary5325231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- CD BadajozTenerifepreliminary2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →