Copa del Rey · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Alcoyano — Mallorca
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Mallorca are clear favourites: 71% against 11% for the opponent, draw 18%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Mallorca are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Alcoyano — Mallorca What is xG? | 0.8–2.3 | |
| Alcoyano not to lose | 29% | |
| Mallorca not to lose | 89% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Alcoyano
- Alcoyano goals
- Mallorca goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 05.01Real Madrid1:3
- 14.12Levante3:3
- 30.11away · CD Badajoz3:0
- 28.01Athletic Club1:2
- 20.01Real Madrid2:1
- 11.10Las Palmas3:1
- 04.10away · Girona0:0
- 27.09Almería0:1
- 19.09away · Real Sociedad B1:0
- 13.09Sabadell2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- Anaitasuna FTDeportivo Alavéspreliminary511842The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.6
- Coruxo FCZamorapreliminary2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Peña SportSD Huescapreliminary2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- PoblenseAD Ceuta FCpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- PortugaleteReal Uniónpreliminary4226321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- UteboSabadellpreliminary916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
- SD AmorebietaLogroñéspreliminary5325231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- CD BadajozTenerifepreliminary2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →