Segunda Division, round 12 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Celta Fortuna — Córdoba
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Celta Fortuna 38%, Córdoba 34%, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 69%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Córdoba are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Celta Fortuna — Córdoba What is xG? | 1.8–1.6 | |
| Celta Fortuna not to lose | 66% | |
| Córdoba not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 31% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Celta Fortuna
- Celta Fortuna goals
- Córdoba goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Real Sociedad B4:1
- 04.10away · Sporting Gijón2:3
- 26.09Sabadell1:1
- 20.09away · Almería0:2
- 14.09Eibar0:4
- 10.10away · Eldense1:2
- 05.10Tenerife3:2
- 27.09away · Real Valladolid1:3
- 18.09away · Albacete2:1
- 12.09Almería0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tenerife | 9 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Celta Fortuna | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Eldense | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | FC Andorra | 9 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 18 | Córdoba | 9 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
| 19, Relegation | Real Sociedad B | 9 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- Real Sociedad BGironapreliminary3528372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- EibarAlmeríapreliminary4527281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- AlbaceteSabadellpreliminary3329392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →