Segunda Division, round 12 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Real Sociedad B — Girona

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Model prediction for 31 October

Real Sociedad B35%
Draw28%
Girona37%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Real Sociedad B 35%, Girona 37%, draw 28%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 58%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Girona are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Real Sociedad B — Girona What is xG?1.4–1.4
Real Sociedad B not to lose63%
Girona not to lose65%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes58%
Both teams to score: no42%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Real Sociedad B
  • Real Sociedad B goals
  • Girona goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Real Sociedad B

  • 10.10away · Celta Fortuna1:4
  • 04.10Granada2:3
  • 26.09away · AD Ceuta FC1:3
  • 19.09Mallorca0:1
  • 12.09away · FC Andorra3:1

Girona

  • 12.10away · Tenerife1:1
  • 04.10Mallorca0:0
  • 25.09Albacete2:0
  • 19.09away · Cádiz2:1
  • 12.09Castellón1:2

Head to head

  • 18.04.2022Girona — Real Sociedad B2:0
  • 22.11.2021Real Sociedad B — Girona1:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6, Promotion play-offsSporting Gijón95139–8+116
7Girona943215–9+615
8Burgos CF942312–10+214
18Córdoba930614–20-69
19, RelegationReal Sociedad B922512–17-58
20, RelegationCádiz914411–1107

Season 2026/27

Full table

Segunda Division on the same day

  • EibarAlmeríapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
  • AlbaceteSabadellpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →