Segunda Division, round 12 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Albacete — Sabadell
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Albacete 34%, Sabadell 37%, draw 29%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Albacete — No. 22, 1 pt; Sabadell — No. 5, 16 pts. A gap of 15 pts.
- Albacete: 4 defeats in a row; Sabadell: unbeaten in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Albacete — Sabadell What is xG? | 1.2–1.3 | |
| Albacete not to lose | 63% | |
| Sabadell not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Albacete
- Albacete goals
- Sabadell goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Real Valladolid0:5
- 03.10Eibar1:3
- 25.09away · Girona0:2
- 18.09Córdoba1:2
- 12.09away · Granada1:1
- 10.10away · AD Ceuta FC2:1
- 04.10FC Andorra0:0
- 26.09away · Celta Fortuna1:1
- 20.09Real Oviedo3:1
- 13.09away · Mallorca0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Mallorca | 9 | 5 | +7 | 17 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Sabadell | 9 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Sporting Gijón | 9 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 21, Relegation | AD Ceuta FC | 9 | 1 | -12 | 5 |
| 22, Relegation | Albacete | 9 | 0 | -15 | 1 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- Real Sociedad BGironapreliminary3228402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- EibarAlmeríapreliminary4428281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- Celta FortunaCórdobapreliminary3528382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →