UEFA Europa League, round 2 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Celta Vigo — Juventus
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Juventus are clear favourites: 52% against 24% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Juventus are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Celta Vigo — Juventus What is xG? | 1.1–1.7 | |
| Celta Vigo not to lose | 48% | |
| Juventus not to lose | 76% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Celta Vigo
- Celta Vigo goals
- Juventus goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Elche0:0
- 19.09Racing Santander5:0
- 16.09away · Omonia Nicosia0:1
- 13.09Málaga1:1
- 07.09away · Getafe1:1
- 11.10away · Cagliari1:1
- 20.09Atalanta2:0
- 17.09NEC Nijmegen5:0
- 13.09away · Sassuolo2:3
- 06.09Milan1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Straight to the round of 16 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | +5 | 3 |
| 2, Straight to the round of 16 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 26 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 | Celtic | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
Europa League on the same day
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3226412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2926462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →