UEFA Europa League, round 2 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Groupama Stadium
Lyon — Crystal Palace
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Lyon are slightly stronger: 42% against 32%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Lyon are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Lyon — No. 11, 3 pts; Crystal Palace — No. 2, 3 pts.
- Days of rest before the match: Lyon 6, Crystal Palace 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lyon — Crystal Palace What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Lyon not to lose | 68% | |
| Crystal Palace not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Lyon
- Lyon goals
- Crystal Palace goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Lens1:2
- 19.09Rennes4:0
- 16.09away · Anderlecht2:1
- 12.09away · Paris FC0:0
- 04.09Auxerre3:1
- 11.10Nottingham Forest3:1
- 20.09away · Leeds United0:0
- 17.09Lech Poznań4:0
- 12.09Ipswich Town2:3
- 08.09Middlesbrough3:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Straight to the round of 16 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | +5 | 3 |
| 2, Straight to the round of 16 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 3, Straight to the round of 16 | Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 10, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Olympiacos | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
Europa League on the same day
- 7217101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- 4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- 6221161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- 5225241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 1420662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- 6819131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →