La Liga, round 10 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Celta Vigo — Real Betis
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Celta Vigo are slightly stronger: 40% against 32%, draw 28%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Celta Vigo are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Celta Vigo — No. 9, 8 pts; Real Betis — No. 3, 19 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Real Betis: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Celta Vigo 1 win, Real Betis 1, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Celta Vigo — Real Betis What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Celta Vigo not to lose | 68% | |
| Real Betis not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Celta Vigo
- Celta Vigo goals
- Real Betis goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Elche0:0
- 19.09Racing Santander5:0
- 16.09away · Omonia Nicosia0:1
- 13.09Málaga1:1
- 07.09away · Getafe1:1
- 11.10Osasuna5:2
- 20.09away · Deportivo A Coruña1:1
- 17.09Getafe1:0
- 14.09away · Villarreal2:1
- 08.09away · Lille3:2
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Real Betis — Celta Vigo1:1
- 27.08.2025Celta Vigo — Real Betis1:1
- 08.02.2025Celta Vigo — Real Betis3:2
- 10.11.2024Real Betis — Celta Vigo2:2
- 12.04.2024Real Betis — Celta Vigo2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League | Atlético Madrid | 8 | 6 | +10 | 19 |
| 3, Champions League | Real Betis | 8 | 6 | +5 | 19 |
| 4, Champions League | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | +11 | 18 |
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruña | 8 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
La Liga on the same day
- Athletic ClubGetafepreliminary6622121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Real SociedadLevantepreliminary6124161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- BarcelonaReal Madridpreliminary6522131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →