Paraguayan Primera Division · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Cerro Porteño — Sportivo Ameliano
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cerro Porteño are clear favourites: 55% against 18% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cerro Porteño are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Sportivo Ameliano: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Cerro Porteño 3 wins, Sportivo Ameliano 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cerro Porteño — Sportivo Ameliano What is xG? | 1.5–0.8 | |
| Cerro Porteño not to lose | 82% | |
| Sportivo Ameliano not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cerro Porteño
- Cerro Porteño goals
- Sportivo Ameliano goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Luqueño3:0
- 06.102 de Mayo0:2
- 27.09away · Sportivo Trinidense1:2
- 20.09Rubio Ñú1:0
- 12.09away · Guaraní1:1
- 12.10away · 2 de Mayo0:1
- 06.10Rubio Ñú1:2
- 26.09away · Nacional (PAR)1:1
- 19.09away · Libertad1:1
- 11.09Sportivo San Lorenzo1:0
Head to head
- 08.08.2026Sportivo Ameliano — Cerro Porteño1:0
- 25.04.2026Cerro Porteño — Sportivo Ameliano1:1
- 26.02.2026Sportivo Ameliano — Cerro Porteño0:1
- 21.09.2025Cerro Porteño — Sportivo Ameliano2:0
- 12.07.2025Sportivo Ameliano — Cerro Porteño0:1
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- Olimpia2 de Mayopreliminary6124151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →