Liga MX (Mexico), round 14 · Monday, 26 October, MSK
CF América — Pachuca
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
CF América are clear favourites: 58% against 18% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings CF América are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CF América — Pachuca What is xG? | 1.8–1.0 | |
| CF América not to lose | 82% | |
| Pachuca not to lose | 42% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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- Handicap CF América
- CF América goals
- Pachuca goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10Monterrey1:1
- 28.09away · Necaxa4:2
- 20.09Chivas2:2
- 13.09away · Cruz Azul3:4
- 30.08Puebla2:0
- 12.10Necaxa3:3
- 27.09away · Santos Laguna0:1
- 21.09Tijuana2:2
- 12.09away · Atlante3:0
- 05.09away · FC Juárez2:0
Head to head
- 19.01.2026Pachuca — CF América0:0
- 31.08.2025CF América — Pachuca2:0
- 11.05.2025CF América — Pachuca2:0
- 08.05.2025Pachuca — CF América0:0
- 06.04.2025Pachuca — CF América1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Liguilla (playoffs) | CF América | 10 | 6 | +11 | 21 |
| 2, Liguilla (playoffs) | Toluca | 11 | 6 | +10 | 20 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 10 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | Pachuca | 11 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 | Pumas | 11 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
Liga MX on the same day
- AtlasPueblapreliminary5127211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- Querétaro FCCruz Azulpreliminary2730432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
- TijuanaSantos Lagunapreliminary5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →