Liga MX (Mexico), round 14 · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Tijuana — Santos Laguna
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tijuana are clear favourites: 52% against 22% for the opponent, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.9.
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Tijuana are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tijuana — Santos Laguna What is xG? | 2.0–1.4 | |
| Tijuana not to lose | 78% | |
| Santos Laguna not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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- Handicap Tijuana
- Tijuana goals
- Santos Laguna goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 12.10away · Atlético de San Luis2:1
- 27.09Pachuca1:0
- 21.09away · Toluca3:2
- 14.09FC Juárez2:1
- 07.09away · Cruz Azul0:1
Head to head
- 09.03.2026Tijuana — Santos Laguna1:2
- 25.09.2025Santos Laguna — Tijuana1:0
- 21.04.2025Santos Laguna — Tijuana0:4
- 19.08.2024Tijuana — Santos Laguna3:1
- 16.03.2024Tijuana — Santos Laguna2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Liguilla (playoffs) | Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | +1 | 17 |
| 8, Liguilla (playoffs) | Tijuana | 10 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 | Puebla | 11 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Tigres | 11 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Atlético de San Luis | 11 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
Liga MX on the same day
- AtlasPueblapreliminary5127211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- CF AméricaPachucapreliminary5825181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Querétaro FCCruz Azulpreliminary2730432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →