Liga MX (Mexico), round 14 · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Atlas — Puebla
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Atlas are clear favourites: 51% against 21% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Atlas are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlas — Puebla What is xG? | 1.6–1.0 | |
| Atlas not to lose | 79% | |
| Puebla not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlas
- Atlas goals
- Puebla goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
- 10.01.2026Atlas — Puebla1:0
- 12.07.2025Puebla — Atlas2:3
- 16.02.2025Atlas — Puebla3:2
- 20.07.2024Puebla — Atlas1:2
- 09.03.2024Puebla — Atlas2:2
Table
Liga MX on the same day
- CF AméricaPachucapreliminary5825181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Querétaro FCCruz Azulpreliminary2730432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
- TijuanaSantos Lagunapreliminary5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →