Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Wednesday, 28 October, 04:05 MSK

Chicó FC — Junior FC

Model prediction for 28 October

Chicó FC26%

Draw29%

Junior FC45%

Model estimate at 14:19 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Junior FC are slightly stronger: 45% against 26%, draw 29%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

By the strength ratings Junior FC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

League table: Chicó FC — No. 14, 12 pts; Junior FC — No. 17, 10 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
Last 5 meetings: Chicó FC 0 wins, Junior FC 4, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Chicó FC — Junior FC What is xG?		1.1–1.5
Chicó FC not to lose		55%
Junior FC not to lose		74%
No draw		71%
Both teams to score: yes		53%
Both teams to score: no		47%
Total over 2.5		47%
Total under 2.5		53%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Chicó FC
Chicó FC goals
Junior FC goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Form

Chicó FC

12.10Cúcuta0:1
04.10away · Tolima0:0
26.09Deportivo Pasto3:0
19.09away · Millonarios0:3
16.09Alianza FC1:2

Junior FC

11.10Internacional de Bogotá2:2
05.10away · Bucaramanga1:3
01.10away · Atlético Nacional1:3
27.09Independiente Medellín2:0
20.09away · Fortaleza FC4:1

Head to head

08.02.2026Junior FC — Chicó FC3:0
03.08.2025Junior FC — Chicó FC2:0
19.02.2025Chicó FC — Junior FC0:2
22.07.2024Junior FC — Chicó FC2:1
29.01.2024Chicó FC — Junior FC2:2

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026 (Clausura)
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
13	Internacional de Bogotá	14	2	8	4	16–20	-4	14
14	Chicó FC	12	3	3	6	10–19	-9	12
15	Alianza FC	13	3	3	7	14–26	-12	12
16	Fortaleza FC	13	1	8	4	14–19	-5	11
17	Junior FC	12	2	4	6	18–22	-4	10
18	CD Jaguares	12	2	4	6	14–22	-8	10

Season 2026 (Clausura)

Full table

Colombian Primera A on the same day

02:00
CúcutaÁguilas Doradaspreliminary
332937
XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:22.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →