Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Chicó FC — Junior FC

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Model prediction for 28 October

Chicó FC26%
Draw29%
Junior FC46%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Junior FC are slightly stronger: 46% against 26%, draw 29%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Junior FC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Chicó FC — Junior FC What is xG?1.1–1.5
Chicó FC not to lose55%
Junior FC not to lose74%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.546%
Total under 2.554%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Chicó FC
  • Chicó FC goals
  • Junior FC goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Chicó FC

  • 12.10Cúcuta0:1
  • 04.10away · Tolima0:0
  • 26.09Deportivo Pasto3:0
  • 19.09away · Millonarios0:3
  • 16.09Alianza FC1:2

Junior FC

  • 11.10Internacional de Bogotá2:2
  • 05.10away · Bucaramanga1:3
  • 01.10away · Atlético Nacional1:3
  • 27.09Independiente Medellín2:0
  • 20.09away · Fortaleza FC4:1

Head to head

  • 08.02.2026Junior FC — Chicó FC3:0
  • 03.08.2025Junior FC — Chicó FC2:0
  • 19.02.2025Chicó FC — Junior FC0:2
  • 22.07.2024Junior FC — Chicó FC2:1
  • 29.01.2024Chicó FC — Junior FC2:2

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026 (Clausura)
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
13Internacional de Bogotá1428416–20-414
14Chicó FC1233610–19-912
15Alianza FC1333714–26-1212
16Fortaleza FC1318414–19-511
17Junior FC1224618–22-410
18CD Jaguares1224614–22-810

Season 2026 (Clausura)

Full table

Colombian Primera A on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →