Peruvian Liga 1 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Cienciano — Atlético Grau
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cienciano are clear favourites: 58% against 17% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cienciano are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Cienciano 3 wins, Atlético Grau 0, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cienciano — Atlético Grau What is xG? | 1.8–0.9 | |
| Cienciano not to lose | 83% | |
| Atlético Grau not to lose | 42% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cienciano
- Cienciano goals
- Atlético Grau goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 08.10away · Club Deportivo Moquegua2:0
- 30.09Los Chankas1:1
- 23.09away · Asociación Deportiva Tarma1:2
- 18.09away · Montevideo City Torque0:3
- 11.09Montevideo City Torque2:0
- 08.10Los Chankas0:0
- 19.09away · Sporting Cristal1:3
- 13.09Alianza Atlético3:1
- 06.09away · Deportivo Garcilaso2:4
- 01.09FBC Melgar1:0
Head to head
- 09.05.2026Atlético Grau — Cienciano1:2
- 24.08.2025Cienciano — Atlético Grau1:0
- 05.04.2025Atlético Grau — Cienciano1:1
- 17.08.2024Cienciano — Atlético Grau1:0
- 09.03.2024Atlético Grau — Cienciano1:1
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- Los ChankasCusco FCpreliminary3428382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- Sporting CristalAlianza Limapreliminary4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →