Belgian Pro League, round 9 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Club Brugge — St.Truiden
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Club Brugge are clear favourites: 76% against 8% for the opponent, draw 16%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.5 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Club Brugge are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Club Brugge — No. 2, 21 pts; St.Truiden — No. 12, 8 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
- Club Brugge: 4 wins in a row; St.Truiden: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Club Brugge 3 wins, St.Truiden 1, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: Club Brugge 12, St.Truiden 14.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Club Brugge — St.Truiden What is xG? | 2.5–1.0 | |
| Club Brugge not to lose | 92% | |
| St.Truiden not to lose | 24% | |
| No draw | 84% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Club Brugge
- Club Brugge goals
- St.Truiden goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Inter4:3
- 10.10away · RAAL La Louvière4:1
- 20.09Genk3:0
- 13.09Royal Antwerp3:1
- 08.09Aston Villa2:3
- 11.10away · KV Mechelen3:4
- 20.09Westerlo0:2
- 12.09away · SK Beveren0:2
- 05.09RAAL La Louvière4:0
- 02.09Union St.Gilloise0:3
Head to head
- 09.05.2026Club Brugge — St.Truiden2:0
- 11.04.2026St.Truiden — Club Brugge1:2
- 06.12.2025St.Truiden — Club Brugge3:2
- 21.09.2025Club Brugge — St.Truiden2:0
- 15.02.2025St.Truiden — Club Brugge2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Gent | 8 | 7 | +11 | 22 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Club Brugge | 8 | 7 | +15 | 21 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Sporting Charleroi | 8 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 11 | SK Beveren | 8 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | St.Truiden | 8 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Royal Antwerp | 8 | 2 | -8 | 7 |
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- GenkStandard Liègepreliminary5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- GentAnderlechtpreliminary4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- Union St.GilloiseCercle Bruggepreliminary751771The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →