Belgian Pro League, round 9 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Genk — Standard Liège
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Genk are clear favourites: 64% against 15% for the opponent, draw 21%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Genk are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Genk — Standard Liège What is xG? | 1.9–0.9 | |
| Genk not to lose | 85% | |
| Standard Liège not to lose | 36% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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Form
- 10.10Kortrijk3:0
- 20.09away · Club Brugge0:3
- 13.09Gent1:1
- 06.09away · Anderlecht0:0
- 28.08SK Beveren4:0
- 11.10Sporting Charleroi0:1
- 18.09away · Gent1:2
- 12.09away · Westerlo2:4
- 05.09Royal Antwerp1:0
- 29.08away · OH Leuven2:1
Head to head
- 16.05.2026Standard Liège — Genk0:0
- 25.04.2026Genk — Standard Liège1:1
- 22.02.2026Genk — Standard Liège0:3
- 10.08.2025Standard Liège — Genk2:1
- 14.02.2025Standard Liège — Genk1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Westerlo | 8 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Genk | 8 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 8 | Zulte Waregem | 8 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Standard Liège | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Lommel | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- Club BruggeSt.Truidenpreliminary7118111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.7
- GentAnderlechtpreliminary4728251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- Union St.GilloiseCercle Bruggepreliminary7020101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →