Peruvian Liga 1 · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Estadio 25 de Noviembre
Club Deportivo Moquegua — Cienciano
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:2Came true
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Cienciano to win (42%), came true.
Cienciano are slightly stronger: 42% against 30%, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cienciano are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Club Deportivo Moquegua: 4 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Club Deportivo Moquegua — Cienciano What is xG? | 1.1–1.4 | |
| Club Deportivo Moquegua not to lose | 58% | |
| Cienciano not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Club Deportivo Moquegua
- Club Deportivo Moquegua goals
- Cienciano goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09away · ADC Juan Pablo II0:4
- 13.09Sporting Cristal1:2
- 06.09away · Cusco FC0:2
- 30.08Alianza Atlético1:4
- 22.08away · Sport Huancayo2:0
- 30.09Los Chankas1:1
- 23.09away · Asociación Deportiva Tarma1:2
- 18.09away · Montevideo City Torque0:3
- 11.09Montevideo City Torque2:0
- 04.09away · FC Cajamarca5:2
Head to head
- 20.04.2026Cienciano — Club Deportivo Moquegua2:1
Next matches
- FC CajamarcaClub Deportivo Moquegua18 October · Peruvian Liga 15724191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.0
- CiencianoCD UT Cajamarca19 October · Peruvian Liga 1761591The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.3
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- 5525201The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →