Peruvian Liga 1 · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo
Atlético Grau — Los Chankas
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In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Atlético Grau to win (55%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 55% fails in about 45 matches out of 100 on average.
Atlético Grau are clear favourites: 55% against 20% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Atlético Grau are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlético Grau — Los Chankas What is xG? | 1.6–0.9 | |
| Atlético Grau not to lose | 80% | |
| Los Chankas not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlético Grau
- Atlético Grau goals
- Los Chankas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 19.09away · Sporting Cristal1:3
- 13.09Alianza Atlético3:1
- 06.09away · Deportivo Garcilaso2:4
- 01.09FBC Melgar1:0
- 21.08away · FC Cajamarca3:1
- 30.09away · Cienciano1:1
- 12.09FC Cajamarca1:2
- 06.09away · Sporting Cristal0:5
- 29.08ADC Juan Pablo II3:4
- 24.08away · Universitario de Deportes0:3
Head to head
- 17.04.2026Los Chankas — Atlético Grau2:0
- 10.08.2025Los Chankas — Atlético Grau3:2
- 10.03.2025Atlético Grau — Los Chankas2:1
- 21.08.2024Atlético Grau — Los Chankas1:1
- 15.03.2024Los Chankas — Atlético Grau0:1
Next matches
- Los ChankasAsociación Deportiva Tarma16 October · Peruvian Liga 15127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- Alianza LimaAtlético Grau18 October · Peruvian Liga 1711991The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- 3028422The most likely outcome came true: 20:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 1:2.2.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →