Peruvian Liga 1 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Club Deportivo Moquegua — Los Chankas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Club Deportivo Moquegua 38%, Los Chankas 32%, draw 29%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Club Deportivo Moquegua: 5 defeats in a row; Los Chankas: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Club Deportivo Moquegua — Los Chankas What is xG? | 1.3–1.1 | |
| Club Deportivo Moquegua not to lose | 68% | |
| Los Chankas not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Club Deportivo Moquegua
- Club Deportivo Moquegua goals
- Los Chankas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 08.10Cienciano0:2
- 20.09away · ADC Juan Pablo II0:4
- 13.09Sporting Cristal1:2
- 06.09away · Cusco FC0:2
- 30.08Alianza Atlético1:4
- 08.10away · Atlético Grau0:0
- 30.09away · Cienciano1:1
- 12.09FC Cajamarca1:2
- 06.09away · Sporting Cristal0:5
- 29.08ADC Juan Pablo II3:4
Head to head
- 17.05.2026Los Chankas — Club Deportivo Moquegua1:0
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- Cusco FCSport Boyspreliminary6521131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- Atlético GrauUniversitario de Deportespreliminary3030402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →