Peruvian Liga 1 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Atlético Grau — Universitario de Deportes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Universitario de Deportes are slightly stronger: 40% against 30%, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 2.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Universitario de Deportes are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Atlético Grau 1 win, Universitario de Deportes 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlético Grau — Universitario de Deportes What is xG? | 1.1–1.3 | |
| Atlético Grau not to lose | 60% | |
| Universitario de Deportes not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlético Grau
- Atlético Grau goals
- Universitario de Deportes goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 08.10Los Chankas0:0
- 19.09away · Sporting Cristal1:3
- 13.09Alianza Atlético3:1
- 06.09away · Deportivo Garcilaso2:4
- 01.09FBC Melgar1:0
- 11.10FBC Melgar2:2
- 20.09away · Deportivo Garcilaso0:4
- 13.09away · Alianza Lima2:1
- 06.09Comerciantes Unidos2:2
- 29.08away · CD UT Cajamarca4:2
Head to head
- 16.05.2026Universitario de Deportes — Atlético Grau0:1
- 01.08.2025Universitario de Deportes — Atlético Grau3:1
- 26.06.2025Atlético Grau — Universitario de Deportes0:2
- 21.07.2024Atlético Grau — Universitario de Deportes1:1
- 04.02.2024Universitario de Deportes — Atlético Grau1:0
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- Club Deportivo MoqueguaLos Chankaspreliminary3829321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- Cusco FCSport Boyspreliminary6521131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →