Major League Soccer (MLS), round 33 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Columbus Crew — DC United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Columbus Crew are clear favourites: 54% against 21% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Columbus Crew are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Columbus Crew — DC United What is xG? | 1.7–1.0 | |
| Columbus Crew not to lose | 79% | |
| DC United not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Columbus Crew
- Columbus Crew goals
- DC United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Orlando City2:3
- 28.09Inter Miami CF2:1
- 20.09away · CF Montréal2:0
- 17.09Orlando City2:1
- 13.09Red Bull New York0:1
- 11.10away · Inter Miami CF0:4
- 27.09away · Vancouver Whitecaps3:3
- 20.09Charlotte FC1:2
- 13.09Atlanta United0:0
- 10.09Columbus Crew2:1
Head to head
- 10.09.2026DC United — Columbus Crew2:1
- 20.07.2025Columbus Crew — DC United2:1
- 30.03.2025DC United — Columbus Crew1:2
- 29.09.2024DC United — Columbus Crew2:2
- 07.04.2024Columbus Crew — DC United1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
| 26 | DC United | 27 | 6 | -12 | 30 |
| 27 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | -5 | 29 |
| 28 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | -15 | 27 |
MLS on the same day
- Charlotte FCOrlando Citypreliminary4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.8
- FC CincinnatiPhiladelphia Unionpreliminary3226412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.7
- New York City FCCF Montréalpreliminary5526201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Sporting Kansas CityFC Dallaspreliminary2726472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.1
- St. Louis CitySan Diego FCpreliminary5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →