Major League Soccer (MLS), round 33 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Charlotte FC — Orlando City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Charlotte FC are clear favourites: 49% against 26% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 73%, both teams to score — 73%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Charlotte FC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Charlotte FC — Orlando City What is xG? | 2.2–1.6 | |
| Charlotte FC not to lose | 74% | |
| Orlando City not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 27% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 73% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 27% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Charlotte FC
- Charlotte FC goals
- Orlando City goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10FC Dallas3:2
- 27.09Chicago Fire FC0:1
- 20.09away · DC United2:1
- 13.09away · FC Cincinnati3:3
- 10.09away · CF Montréal2:1
- 11.10Columbus Crew3:2
- 27.09away · Philadelphia Union2:4
- 20.09away · New England Revolution2:4
- 17.09away · Columbus Crew1:2
- 13.09Toronto FC3:0
Head to head
- 23.04.2026Orlando City — Charlotte FC4:1
- 06.07.2025Charlotte FC — Orlando City2:2
- 15.05.2025Orlando City — Charlotte FC3:1
- 10.11.2024Orlando City — Charlotte FC1:1
- 02.11.2024Charlotte FC — Orlando City0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | +6 | 46 |
| 14, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 0 | 37 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | -15 | 37 |
| 16, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | -7 | 36 |
MLS on the same day
- FC CincinnatiPhiladelphia Unionpreliminary3226412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.7
- Columbus CrewDC Unitedpreliminary5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- New York City FCCF Montréalpreliminary5526201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Sporting Kansas CityFC Dallaspreliminary2726472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.1
- St. Louis CitySan Diego FCpreliminary5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →