Major League Soccer (MLS), round 33 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Sporting Kansas City — FC Dallas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Dallas are clear favourites: 47% against 27% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Dallas are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sporting Kansas City — FC Dallas What is xG? | 1.3–1.8 | |
| Sporting Kansas City not to lose | 53% | |
| FC Dallas not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sporting Kansas City
- Sporting Kansas City goals
- FC Dallas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Portland Timbers3:3
- 02.10away · Seattle Sounders FC1:2
- 27.09away · Houston Dynamo FC2:0
- 20.09Philadelphia Union3:4
- 13.09Los Angeles FC3:1
- 11.10away · Charlotte FC2:3
- 27.09Los Angeles FC1:0
- 20.09Austin FC0:0
- 13.09Portland Timbers2:1
- 10.09away · Minnesota United2:1
Head to head
- 06.09.2026FC Dallas — Sporting Kansas City4:3
- 15.06.2025Sporting Kansas City — FC Dallas2:4
- 30.03.2025FC Dallas — Sporting Kansas City2:1
- 20.10.2024FC Dallas — Sporting Kansas City2:1
- 11.07.2024Sporting Kansas City — FC Dallas2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 14 | +11 | 48 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | +7 | 47 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 29 | CF Montréal | 28 | 6 | -21 | 24 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | -33 | 22 |
MLS on the same day
- Charlotte FCOrlando Citypreliminary4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.8
- FC CincinnatiPhiladelphia Unionpreliminary3226412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.7
- Columbus CrewDC Unitedpreliminary5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- New York City FCCF Montréalpreliminary5526201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- St. Louis CitySan Diego FCpreliminary5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →